8 Responses

  1. liberoordeath@outlook.com'
    ACJ April 22, 2014 at 5:13 pm |

    Nice article.

    Is penetration counted any time a team enters the opposition’s defensive third?

    I know RSL remains an anomaly in some ways, they rarely seem to completely dominate a game, yet continue to win comfortably. I have to think that at some point in the season these close games will go against them, and I agree that Nick Rimando’s absence will probably be the catalyst, though there may be some merit in quantifying Nat Borcher’s beard’s effect on shot accuracy.

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  2. liberoordeath@outlook.com'
    ACJ April 22, 2014 at 10:08 pm |

    Thanks for the breakdown on penetration, and especially the link. PWP seems like the sort of thing I would have wanted to create if I had a stronger math background and had gotten more into analytics before becoming a dad. The Chalkboard is pretty useful, I had been using it to look at some smaller questions I had, but you’ve taken it to a new level and incorporated that data into a much larger, more useful system.

    So does Portland have more or less penetration in 2014 than 2013? Using really simple passing stats from Squawka, they are #9 in the league in attempted passes per game this season, and I think they’re averaging a shot every 27 passes, which is also squarely in the middle of the league. So it seems like they’re taking care of the ball less, but if they are creating more opportunities, that may be a good tradeoff this season.

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  3. Dan D. April 23, 2014 at 11:10 am |

    Great insight. Although I am not particularly a statistics man, there is certainly great value to be had here. Looking forward to reading more of your stuff Chris.

    Not a statistical question, but what I would surmise was your MOTM – Nick Rimando. Assuming Howard is the clear cut #1 for USMNT, does he have the backup job, or is there still a battle with Guzan?

    Dan

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